Posts Tagged ‘recession’

2 Sep 14 2012 @ 10:58am by Matt Smith in Crude Oil, Economy, Global Energy, risk management, Risk Strategy

Back To The Future

So folks, we are not only at another critical juncture in the economy, but at a point we have been at before. For yesterday the Federal Reserve signaled we will be going back to the future…through another round of economic stimulus (QE3). So let us place ourselves in the shoes of Marty McFly and consider: to understand the future, we need to go back to the past.  » read more

0 Aug 17 2012 @ 10:58am by Matt Smith in Blog, Capital Markets, Crude Oil, Global Energy, Natural Gas

Burrito Bites

Hello, hello! Welcome to burrito bites, which has been somewhat errant in recent weeks. There’s a bunch of bites below scanning this period (I’m mostly playing catch-up, rather than cutting edge…). Since the last snack attack, natural gas has tumbled out of three-dollardom as the end of summer is on the horizon as we slowly head toward the peak of hurricane season, unscathed thus far. As for Texas tea, oil has ripped emphatically higher on geoploitical concerns, QE3 hopes hopes of economic improvement, and a tighter supply situation. Enough fluff: here’s the good stuff: » read more

0 Aug 18 2011 @ 10:21am by Matt Smith in Capital Markets, Economy, Random, risk management

Fun! With Words! The Glass Half Full

Ok, it was very easy to be pessimistic in the last post. To put things on a more even keel, here’s some focus on the positive aspects of the global economy (btw…this wasn’t all that easy): » read more

0 Aug 18 2011 @ 10:20am by Matt Smith in Capital Markets, Economy, Random, risk management

Fun! With Words! The Glass Half Empty

The term ‘double dip’ is being bantered around an awful lot this week, so it seemed prudent to take a closer look at why. Some digging into the current data reveals why this belief exists: » read more

0 Aug 12 2011 @ 10:02am by Matt Smith in Crude Oil, Global Energy, Natural Gas

Burrito bites

Um, word up. I’m not sure that I’ve experienced a more confusing week in markets. This week has left me scratching my head as Monday to Thursday the Dow has closed  -635; +430; -520 ; +423. Given those surreal prints in the equity market, it has impossible to make sense of current action in commodities such as crude (or cities such as London; yep, I’m so proud…). At least natural gas has been somewhat logical, insulated by its own fundamentals: stymied by record production levels but buoyed by supportive weather outlooks, increasing tropical activity, and a bullish storage number. As for the movement in crude, your guess is as good as mine as volatility, indecision, hope, and fear leave it schizophrenic. Anyway, no need to brood…here comes the food: » read more