Posts Tagged ‘equities’

0 Apr 25 2013 @ 3:13pm by Matt Smith in Capital Markets, Crude Oil, Economy, Global Energy, risk management

Dot-to-Dot-to…Not?

My favorite moment of the working day is doing a dot-to-dot. And it happens every morning, after booting up my computer; I look across the various asset classes, and start connecting the dots.

After the first few screens, it becomes progressively easier to predict what is coming next: dollar down = risk on, equities up = bond prices down, risk off = metals down. But joining the dots has gone askew recently. So from the starting point of mortgage rates to a crude conclusion, here’s how joining the dots isn’t as simple as going from A to B. » read more

1 Aug 11 2011 @ 9:36am by Matt Smith in Crude Oil, Economy, Global Energy, Natural Gas, risk management, Risk Strategy

What Would Winston Do?

In times of market turbulence like this, I find it useful to do two things: make simple observations, and seek solace in the wisdom of others. So this week I have turned to the most voracious voice of reason, Winston Churchill, to help me make some sense of this all. This is what he has told me: » read more

0 Jul 28 2011 @ 10:58am by Matt Smith in Capital Markets, Crude Oil, Economy, Global Energy, Natural Gas

Let’s Face The Music

At a time when we approach the unprecedented potential of a default by the US on its national debt, it is worth acknowledging that there may well be trouble ahead (…and imminently). As we face the music and prepare to lace up our dancing shoes,  it seems prudent to remember where we were a year ago, and then appraise whether current downbeat perceptions are muddying the water. So from the starting point of Energyland™ to the general economy, let’s take a look at ten reference points, to see if we need to throw in the towel, or just throw some shapes:  » read more

0 Jul 22 2011 @ 9:52am by Matt Smith in Crude Oil, Economy, risk management

File Under: Friday Morning Musings

This morning’s appearance on CNBC was at an almost-civil time of 7.45am, compared to my recent early-morning jaunts on Squawk Box. Nonetheless, it was as fun as always, discussing the current impact of earnings season, the euro, and the IEA on the crude market. Hark, click on the below mugshot to launch to the clip:

4 Mar 16 2011 @ 11:23pm by Matt Smith in Crude Oil, Economy, Global Energy, Natural Gas, Risk Strategy

Japan: Panic In Equities, Currencies, and Global Energy

The impact from events in MENA (Middle East / North Africa) in the past couple of months has been uncompromisingly bullish for the energy complex, and specifically crude oil. However, with the coming of a second ‘black swan’ event in quick succession to this first outlier through the earthquake in Japan, markets this time have been dealt a very different hand, in that the impact to the energy complex is not quite as clear cut. » read more